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A district must plan classrooms while future enrolment and migration remain uncertain. Which approach best manages this uncertainty?

A. Develop alternative scenarios with predefined decision triggers.
B. Use a weighted average and commit all resources immediately.
C. Plan for the best case and retain only a small reserve.
D. Delay all planning until future enrolment becomes certain.
Correct Answer: A. Develop alternative scenarios with predefined decision triggers.

Correct answer: Develop alternative scenarios with predefined decision triggers. Alternative scenarios with predefined decision triggers let planners respond as the uncertainty resolves.

  • Use a weighted average and commit all resources immediately. Committing all resources immediately to a weighted average ignores the risk of being wrong.
  • Plan for the best case and retain only a small reserve. Planning for the best case with a small reserve leaves the district exposed.
  • Delay all planning until future enrolment becomes certain. Delaying all planning until enrolment is certain is impractical.
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